Why pandemic coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) hit different age groups of people in Southeast Asia? a case study in Bangladesh

Tasnim Abdary Anonna, M. Moniruzzaman, Abdul Hadi Al Nafi Khan Hadi Al Nafi Khan, Ashis Kumar Sarker, P. Samanta, Mohammad Iqbal Naser, Shamim Ahmed, Hafiz Al- Asad
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The new catastrophe of a novel coronavirus (COVID-19s) with unstable symptoms has rapidly pulled danger to all age groups worldwide. We investigate possible causes of the different nature and demography of COVID-19. We collected and used secondary data from the IEDCR website and “Worldometer” from 1st April to 24th June for the statistical analyses, including multi-criteria decision-making method (MCDM), topsis, advanced topsis, simple additive weighting (SAW) and weighting product method (WPM) and PCA. The total number of known COVID-19 patients in Bangladesh was 122,709 as of 24th June. Radical growth will be found with 4912 cases in one day on 16th July as per the time-series forecasting. The infection rate among the young (<30) was highest, i.e., 37.8%, while the elderly (>60) had the maximum death rate (≈39%). Both of India and Bangladesh, approximately one-third of total COVID-19 cases belong to the under 30 age group. Preliminary observation finds India and Bangladesh have a high risk for young people and the working class. PCA indicates the highest positive association among the youths and the highest negative association among the older. In this study, older age (>60) individuals are in danger with the fifth rank, and the young and working-age people are at comparatively lower risk with a third to the fourth rank in terms of infection rate as indicated by MCDM. 41-50 age group remains at lower risk with the first rank in all cases. The nature of activities of younger people and the poor immunity system of older people are the reason for the non-homogenous attitude toward the coronavirus among different age groups. In Bangladesh, drug addiction, gambling habits, uncontrolled lifestyle, and social obliquity have led the youth through danger, threatening the older age of family and society.
为什么大流行冠状病毒(SARS-CoV-2)会袭击东南亚不同年龄段的人?孟加拉国的一个案例研究
具有不稳定症状的新型冠状病毒(covid -19)的新灾难迅速给全世界所有年龄组带来了危险。我们调查了COVID-19不同性质和人口统计学的可能原因。利用4月1日至6月24日在IEDCR网站和“Worldometer”网站上收集的二次数据进行统计分析,包括多准则决策法(MCDM)、topsis、高级topsis、简单加性加权法(SAW)、加权积法(WPM)和主成分分析法。截至6月24日,孟加拉国已知COVID-19患者总数为122,709人。根据时间序列预测,7月16日一天内将出现4912例病例的急剧增长。青年人(60岁)感染率最高,死亡率约为39%。在印度和孟加拉国,大约三分之一的COVID-19总病例属于30岁以下年龄组。初步观察发现,印度和孟加拉国的年轻人和工人阶级有很高的风险。主成分分析显示,青少年与老年人的正相关程度最高,而老年人的负相关程度最高。在本研究中,根据MCDM显示,老年人(60岁左右)处于第5级的危险中,年轻人和工作年龄人群的感染率相对较低,为第3至第4级。41-50岁年龄组的风险较低,在所有病例中排名第一。年轻人的活动性质和老年人免疫系统较差是造成不同年龄组对冠状病毒态度不一致的原因。在孟加拉国,吸毒成瘾、赌博习惯、不受控制的生活方式和社会的隐晦使年轻人陷入危险,威胁到家庭和社会的老年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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