Floating Rate Notes in High Rate Environment and the Stock Market Response

Manish Tewari, Pradipkumar Ramanlal
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Abstract

Previous study finds that the firms with inferior growth options tend to issue callable bonds. Typically, these firms are characterized by stock underperformance. Previous study also finds that the floating rate as a superior alternative to the call provision, which is restrictive, when the interest rates are likely to fall. We study the long-term stock performance of floating rate notes (FRNs) issuing firms, issued when the interest rates are high. Stock overperformance would suggest floating rate as a preferred choice by the firms with high growth options rather the call option. We find that the FRNs are generally investment grade with extremely rare presence of a call option. We perform the analysis using Buy and hold abnormal return (BHAR) as the proxy for the long-term stock overperformance/underperformance. A sample of floating rate notes issued (1654) from 1992 to 2007, a period of high interest rates, reveals significant overperformance by the floating rate notes issuing firms in the high-rate paradigm. High growth firms, in the high-rate environment, significantly benefit from the floating rate provision which is less restrictive and less costly than the call option, which typically provides call protection period and pays a call premium. Floating rate provision better mitigates the interest rate risk for the firms in the high-rate environment. We find that the smaller, high growth, higher leverage, less profitable firms with greater agency issues benefit more from issuing FRNs in the high-rate environment. Our study has relevance to the stock portfolio construction and performance. We also perform a comparative analysis using the sample of floating rate notes issued (270) during 2008 to 2018, a period of low interest rates, and find stock underperformance. The implications are that the call option likely is a better choice for the firm since the firm preserves the right to forego exercising the option.
高利率环境下的浮动利率票据与股市反应
以往的研究发现,成长期权较差的公司倾向于发行可赎回债券。通常,这些公司的特点是股票表现不佳。以往的研究也发现,在利率有可能下降的情况下,浮动利率作为一种较好的替代措施,具有限制性。本文研究了浮动利率债券发行公司在利率高时的长期股票表现。股票的超额表现表明,拥有高增长期权而非看涨期权的公司更倾向于选择浮动汇率。我们发现frn一般为投资级,极少存在看涨期权。我们使用买入并持有异常回报(BHAR)作为长期股票表现超/差的代理进行分析。对1992年至2007年(高利率时期)发行的浮动利率票据(1654)的样本显示,在高利率范式下,浮动利率票据发行公司的表现明显优于其他公司。在高利率环境下,高增长公司明显受益于浮动利率条款,它比看涨期权限制更少,成本更低,后者通常提供看涨期权保护期并支付看涨期权溢价。浮动利率拨备较好地缓解了企业在高利率环境下的利率风险。我们发现,在高利率环境下,规模较小、高增长、高杠杆、利润较低、代理问题较多的公司从发行frn中获益更多。我们的研究与股票投资组合的构建和绩效相关。我们还使用2008年至2018年(低利率时期)发行的浮动利率票据样本(270)进行了比较分析,发现股票表现不佳。这意味着看涨期权对公司来说可能是一个更好的选择,因为公司保留了放弃行使期权的权利。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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