Research on New Energy Power Forecast and Meteorological Disaster Warning Platform

Peihua Xu, Zhenghong Chen, Ling Mou, Yun Liang, Jun Liu, Yang Cui
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Abstract

With the large-scale grid connected operation of new energy power plants, the safe operation of grid and new energy power plants has been faced with unprecedented challenges, especially the influence of meteorological conditions. Due to the inherent volatility of new energy, accurate prediction of generation power can effectively reduce the impact on the electricity grid system. In order to improve the prediction accuracy, a dynamic meteorological element correction method considering multiple meteorological elements is introduced, and a centralized power forecasting platform is established. At the same time, due to the frequent occurrence of extreme weather events in recent years, such as wind fan icing, lightning gale, hail, mountain torrents and so on, all of them have brought challenges to the safe operation of new energy power plants, so a fan icing warning model has been developed. Based on the Internet automatic published information plantform of meteorological disaster has established which greatly reduced the loss of power plants caused by the extreme weather.
新能源电力预报与气象灾害预警平台研究
随着新能源电厂的大规模并网运行,电网和新能源电厂的安全运行面临着前所未有的挑战,特别是气象条件的影响。由于新能源固有的波动性,对发电功率进行准确的预测可以有效降低对电网系统的影响。为了提高预报精度,提出了一种考虑多气象要素的动态气象要素校正方法,建立了集中预报平台。同时,由于近年来风机结冰、雷阵风、冰雹、山洪等极端天气事件频发,给新能源电厂的安全运行带来了挑战,因此开发了风机结冰预警模型。建立了基于互联网的气象灾害自动发布信息平台,大大减少了极端天气给电厂造成的损失。
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