The Hidden Credit Boom in IS-LM Monetary Policy Analysis

Rainer Maurer
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Abstract

This paper shows that the elimination of the capital market by Walras' Law in the standard IS-LM textbook model hides an interesting aspect of the monetary transmission process of this model. If a look behind the curtain of the IS-LM-presentation of the Keynesian fixed price model is allowed for, this reveals that under quite plausible assumptions, monetary policy can cause a credit boom, which significantly increases its leverage. As is shown, the decisive role monetary policy plays this model is due to the fact that in a fixed price model without money, the interest rate is undetermined. This indeterminacy of the interest rate in the model without money, is the ultimate reason for the strong leverage that monetary policy can exert in the model with money. The analysis shows also that the IS-LM-version of the Keynesian fixed price model can be mathematically derived from different institutional setups of monetary policy, such as a setup, where monetary policy is conducted by open market operations, or a setup, where monetary policy is conducted by financing the government budget.
IS-LM货币政策分析中的隐性信贷繁荣
本文表明,标准IS-LM教科书模型中瓦尔拉斯定律对资本市场的排除,隐藏了该模型货币传导过程中一个有趣的方面。如果允许我们对凯恩斯固定价格模型的is - lm描述进行深入研究,就会发现,在相当合理的假设下,货币政策可能导致信贷繁荣,从而显著提高其杠杆率。如图所示,货币政策在该模型中起决定性作用是由于在没有货币的固定价格模型中,利率是不确定的。这种无货币模型中利率的不确定性,是货币政策在有货币模型中能够发挥强大杠杆作用的最终原因。分析还表明,凯恩斯主义固定价格模型的is - lm版本可以从不同的货币政策制度设置中数学推导出来,例如货币政策通过公开市场操作实施的设置,或者货币政策通过为政府预算融资来实施的设置。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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