Note: CORONOSIS: Corona Prognosis via a Global Lens to Enable Efficient Policy-making Both at Global and Local Levels

Abstract

Epidemics and pandemics have been affecting human lives since time, and have sometimes altered the course of history. At this very moment, Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has been the defining global health crisis. Now, perhaps for the first time in history, humanity as a whole has undergone major disruptions to life and some form of lockdown. New policies need to be forged by policy-makers for various sectors such as trading, banking, education, etc., to lessen losses and to heal quickly. For efficient policy-making, in turn, some prerequisites needed are historical trend analysis on the pandemic spread, future forecasting, the correlation between the spread of the disease and various socio-economic and environmental factors, etc. Besides, all of these need to be presented in an integrated manner in real-time to facilitate efficient policy-making. Therefore, in this work, we developed a web-based integrated real-time operational dashboard as a one-stop decision support system for COVID-19. In our study, we conducted a detailed data-driven analysis based on available data from multiple authenticated sources to predict the upcoming consequences of the pandemic through rigorous modeling and statistical analyses. We also explored the correlations between disease spread and diverse socio-economic as well as environmental factors. Furthermore, we presented how the outcomes of our work can facilitate both contemporary and future policy-making.