Error Analysis for CAMUI Type Hybrid Rocket Regression Simulation

Abstract

This paper describes the error and uncertainty analysis of the CAMUI hybrid rocket regression simulator. Simulation errors compared to test firings are described and followed by an analysis of the potential uncertainties causing this error. For each uncertainty identified, a sensitivity analysis is then performed with the help of a custom-built simulator to evaluate its impact on the simulator accuracy. It was found that uncertainties in LOX travel time, Reynolds number grouping and model assumptions for the first upstream burning surface have the largest impact on the simulator accuracy and are identified as the main focus points for further research.