Applying Behavioral Finance to Investments: The Existence and Importance of 'Investment Tribes'

Sid Muralidhar, A. Muralidhar
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Abstract

Investment organizations are complex to understand because decisions are the aggregation of multiple individuals who influence the process. This applies to organizations that apply both quantitative and qualitative investment approaches because the first step in a quantitative approach is still a qualitative statement of the investment hypothesis that is then formalized by the models. Increasingly, finance practice is starting to incorporate behavioral finance insights and recognize that individuals are not “rational utility maximizers”, but rather complex psychological beings that can exhibit non-traditional behaviors. Kahneman-Tversky (KT) introduced this notion of individuals being “humans” and not “econs” but made broad generalizations about behaviorally affected decisions (BADs) and did not provide a methodology to examine individual biases. A technique has been proposed to use KT’s questions to provide individual behavioral diagnostics and previous research demonstrated dramatic differences within and across groups based on age, gender and financial literacy, especially for gambles based on prospective gains and losses. This paper is a case study of a single asset management company that uses a mix of quantitative and qualitative investment techniques, driven by five decision makers with equally weighted votes in the final decision. In addition to demonstrating that each individual in the investment committee is unique and providing individual diagnostics that show that age, gender and education need not lead to a particular behavior, this paper highlights the fact that organizations have “investment tribes”; namely, that there are groups of individuals who appear to exhibit similar risk tendencies for gambles involving gains or losses. These tribes can influence and impact decision-making. Quantifying and making transparent the existence of these tribes could improve decision-making. This case study can be helpful for investment firms allowing them to become aware of potential biases, and also for asset owners that delegate decisions to third parties, as it allows them to understand how the investment firms they delegate to might behave when they experience drawdowns.
行为金融学在投资中的应用:“投资部落”的存在及其重要性
投资组织很难理解,因为决策是影响过程的多个个体的集合。这适用于同时应用定量和定性投资方法的组织,因为定量方法的第一步仍然是投资假设的定性陈述,然后由模型形式化。越来越多的金融实践开始纳入行为金融学的见解,并认识到个人不是“理性的效用最大化者”,而是可以表现出非传统行为的复杂心理存在。Kahneman-Tversky (KT)提出了个人是“人类”而不是“经济”的概念,但对行为影响决策(BADs)进行了广泛的概括,并没有提供一种检验个人偏见的方法。有人提出了一种技术,利用KT的问题来提供个人行为诊断,之前的研究表明,基于年龄、性别和金融知识的群体内部和群体之间存在巨大差异,特别是在基于预期收益和损失的赌博中。本文是一个单一资产管理公司的案例研究,该公司使用定量和定性投资技术的混合,由五个决策者在最终决策中具有同等权重的投票权。除了证明投资委员会中的每个人都是独一无二的,并提供个人诊断,表明年龄、性别和教育程度不一定会导致特定的行为外,本文还强调了组织中存在“投资部落”的事实;也就是说,有一群人似乎在涉及收益或损失的赌博中表现出类似的风险倾向。这些部落可以影响和影响决策。量化和透明这些部落的存在可以改善决策。这个案例研究可以帮助投资公司意识到潜在的偏见,也可以帮助那些将决策委托给第三方的资产所有者,因为它可以让他们了解他们委托的投资公司在经历亏损时可能会如何表现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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