Financial Stability of Romanian Households in Light of the COVID-19 Pandemic Shocks

C. Enache
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Abstract

The present paper examines the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the financial situation of Romanian Households, using a simple random sampling without replacement. For a larger investigation of the survey results, that offers a new perception in looking at issues of financial stability, a binary logistic regression model was applied in order to econometrically quantify the relationship between determinants and respondents' behavior regarding the use of savings to pay bills and credits commitment during the coronavirus pandemic. The results of the model show that the respondents’ household with four members and over used 2.75 times more savings to pay bills and credits commitment than those consisting of three or fewer members. It should be mention that, among the respondents participating in the research, slightly over 28 percent of the respondents have no emergency savings at all. In addition, less than a quarter of the responses (16.5 percent) indicate that staple foods were purchased with borrowed money in order to meet the basic consumption needs. The analysis of households’ resilience to shocks is significant in the epidemic context, as the ability of households to cope with the shock determines how much consumption will decrease and whether debtors will register outstanding debts.
2019冠状病毒病大流行冲击下罗马尼亚家庭的金融稳定
本文采用无替换的简单随机抽样方法,研究了Covid-19大流行对罗马尼亚家庭财务状况的影响。为了对调查结果进行更大规模的调查,为研究金融稳定问题提供了新的看法,我们应用了一个二元逻辑回归模型,以便在冠状病毒大流行期间计量量化决定因素与受访者在使用储蓄支付账单和信贷承诺方面的行为之间的关系。模型结果显示,四人以上家庭用于支付账单和信用承诺的储蓄是三人及以下家庭的2.75倍。值得一提的是,在参与调查的受访者中,略高于28%的受访者根本没有应急储蓄。此外,不到四分之一(16.5%)的受访者表示,主食是用贷款购买的,以满足基本消费需求。在疫情背景下,对家庭抵御冲击能力的分析具有重要意义,因为家庭应对冲击的能力决定了消费将减少多少,以及债务人是否将登记未偿债务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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