Niemcy i Francja w Unii Europejskiej po brexicie

J. Fiszer
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

There is no doubt that Brexit is an unprecedented event in the history of European integration and the European Union (EU). It will certainly be a turning point not only in the history of the EU but also in Germany and France. It will affect their place and role in the new international order that is currently being shaped. Today, however, it is very difficult to present an accurate diagnosis, and even more difficult to predict the future of the EU, Europe and the whole world after Brexit. Currently, the opinions of researchers and experts on this subject are divided. Many fear that Brexit will be the beginning of the end of the EU and that it will lead to so-called diversified integration and then to its disintegration. Others believe that Brexit, nolens volens, may accelerate the EU’s modernisation process. This will require the adoption of a new revision treaty. This treaty will be developed under the dictation of Germany and France, which are the most influential countries in the EU.The purpose of this article is to answer a few questions, particularly what role  Germany and France can and will play in the EU after Brexit. Will these countries  again become the driving force in the process of European integration and the EU’s modernisation, or will they remain passive and contribute to the break-up of the EU? Moreover, the author intends to show the opportunities and threats for the EU  without the United Kingdom, which counterbalanced the influence of Germany and France in Europe.
毫无疑问,英国脱欧是欧洲一体化和欧盟历史上前所未有的事件。这不仅是欧盟历史上的一个转折点,也是德国和法国历史上的一个转折点。它将影响它们在目前正在形成的新的国际秩序中的地位和作用。然而,在今天,很难做出准确的诊断,更难预测英国脱欧后欧盟、欧洲乃至整个世界的未来。目前,研究人员和专家对这一问题的看法存在分歧。许多人担心英国脱欧将是欧盟终结的开始,它将导致所谓的多元化一体化,然后导致欧盟解体。其他人则认为,英国脱欧可能会加速欧盟的现代化进程。这将需要通过一项新的修订条约。该条约将在欧盟最具影响力的国家德国和法国的口述下制定。这篇文章的目的是回答几个问题,特别是德国和法国在英国脱欧后可以和将在欧盟发挥什么作用。这些国家是会再次成为欧洲一体化和欧盟现代化进程的推动者,还是会继续保持被动,成为欧盟解体的推手?此外,作者还想展示没有英国的欧盟所面临的机遇和威胁,这将抵消德国和法国在欧洲的影响力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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