A Computationally Efficient Method for Risk Averse Scheduling of Hybrid Power Plants

Simon Ackermann, A. Szabo, Florian Steinke
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Day-ahead scheduling of hybrid power plants with renewable energy resources is inherently associated with uncertainties. We therefore show how to formulate the problem as a two-stage stochastic optimization. To hedge against low profits or even losses, risk averse scheduling is achieved by including risk measures like the (conditional) value at risk into the objective. However, a standard formulation of this approach entails multiple drawbacks, e.g., large sample sizes are required to correctly capture the tails of the profit distribution. To overcome these deficiencies we propose two new methods based on the principles of the recently introduced Robust Common Rank Approximation. The methods are based on efficient scenario reduction with the aid of a simplified, quickly computable proxy model of the full system. We demonstrate dramatically reduced computation times at similar or even superior solution quality with simulations of a hybrid power plant located at the French Antilles.
混合电厂风险规避调度的高效计算方法
具有可再生能源的混合电厂日前调度具有固有的不确定性。因此,我们展示了如何将问题表述为两阶段随机优化。为了避免低利润甚至亏损,风险厌恶调度是通过将风险值(有条件的)等风险度量纳入目标来实现的。然而,这种方法的标准公式有多种缺点,例如,需要大样本量才能正确捕获利润分配的尾部。为了克服这些不足,我们提出了两种基于鲁棒共秩近似原理的新方法。这些方法基于高效的场景约简,借助于简化的、可快速计算的全系统代理模型。我们通过对位于法属安的列斯群岛的一个混合动力发电厂的模拟,证明了在类似甚至更高的解决方案质量下,大大减少了计算时间。
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