Inequality Structure of Global Investment: Analysis and Simulation of an MA Network

K. Asatani, Hiroko Yamano, Masanao Ochi, I. Sakata
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Abstract

Companies considering investments should first examine the global economic structure. Despite the world becoming flatter every day, inequalities between countries still exist. However, any discussion about the emergence and continuation of such inequality remains controversial. In this study, we use a massive dataset of global mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to analyze the unequal capital relationship between countries. We find unilateral investment between pairs of countries that do not change over decades. To identify countries where investments or returns on investment accumulate, we simulate such accumulation by the movement of money between countries through M&A relationships. We formalize the iterative movement of investment/return capital using the PageRank algorithm. The simulation result illustrates a significant difference between countries: return on investments mostly accumulate in countries with high GDP per capita. Other countries have relatively few benefits compared to accumulating investment. Consequently, we conclude that the M&A network structure causes accumulation of returns in specific countries and results in continuous unilateral investment from rich countries to other countries.
全球投资的不平等结构:一个MA网络的分析与模拟
考虑投资的企业应首先审视全球经济结构。尽管世界日益平坦,但国与国之间的不平等仍然存在。然而,任何关于这种不平等的出现和持续的讨论仍然存在争议。在本研究中,我们使用全球并购(M&A)的大量数据集来分析国家之间的不平等资本关系。我们发现,两国之间的单边投资几十年来都没有变化。为了确定投资或投资回报积累的国家,我们通过并购关系模拟了国家之间的资金流动。我们使用PageRank算法形式化投资/回报资本的迭代运动。模拟结果说明了国家之间的显著差异:投资回报大多积累在人均GDP高的国家。与积累投资相比,其他国家得到的好处相对较少。因此,我们得出结论,并购网络结构导致特定国家的收益积累,并导致富裕国家对其他国家的持续单边投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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