Financial Distress Conditions of Commercial Banks in Ethiopia: An Application of Altman's Z-Score 1993 Model.

Robel Yohannes
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In order to achieve the main objective of this study ‘Financial Distress Conditions of Commercial Banks in Ethiopia: An application of Altman’s Z-score 1993 model.’ The model needs a minimum of five years financial statement to predict their existing financial distress conditions. Thus the researcher collected these financial statements from official website of 14 (fourteen) private commercial banks and National Bank of Ethiopia data source. The collected quantitative data are codded and arranged on excel to make suitable for the selected Z-score; and then finally analyzed and interpreted using descriptive analysis. The finding of the study shows that; on average the selected private commercial banks are categorized under ‘Gray Zone’; since the average Z-Score is 1.47; which is in between 1.1 and 2.6 cut-off point of (Altmans’, 1993) Z-score. Suggesting banks to take different remedies for their current condition, applying different predictive models to evaluate their current conditions and forecast future financial activities and future research directions are given as recommendation.
埃塞俄比亚商业银行财务困境状况:Altman Z-Score 1993模型的应用
为了实现本研究的主要目的“埃塞俄比亚商业银行的财务困境状况:Altman的Z-score 1993模型的应用”。该模型需要至少五年的财务报表来预测他们目前的财务困境状况。因此,研究者从14家私营商业银行的官方网站和埃塞俄比亚国家银行的数据源中收集了这些财务报表。将收集到的定量数据在excel中进行编码和整理,以适应所选的Z-score;最后运用描述性分析进行分析和解释。研究结果表明;平均而言,选定的私人商业银行被归类为“灰色地带”;平均Z-Score为1.47;这是在1.1和2.6之间(Altmans’,1993)z分数的分界点。建议银行针对现状采取不同的补救措施,运用不同的预测模型来评估银行的现状,预测未来的金融活动和未来的研究方向。
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