Optimization for Mining Right Evaluation Methods

Kun Chao
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Abstract

The gradual formation of mining right evaluation method system has provided a solid prop for domestic mining right evaluation activities. But, the results of practices have shown that the existing mining right evaluation method still has room for further improvement. Starting from basic principles, the paper analyses the shortcomings of discount cash flow method, comparable sales method and option valuation method, believing that, in the calculation method using the discount cash flow method, the advance deduction of the amount contributed for annual net cash flow or return on investment will cause the under valuation of mining right prices and greatly increase the uncertainty and complexity of the relevant administrative work of the mining industry, in the option evaluation method, the treatment method of directly using the validity term of mining right as the term of option overlooks the periodic characteristics of mining right implementation and is in obvious deviation from the reality of mining development. The paper then suggests ideas for improvement, i.e., in the utilization of the discount cash flow method, the safeguarding of the reasonable interests of mining investors should be incorporated into the setting of discount rate, while in the utilization of option evaluation method, the validity term of option should be the term after deduction of the basic cycle necessary for mining and development of the resources in the tenement from the validity term of mining right. Based on this thinking, the paper has improved the calculation methods of the discount cash flow method and the option evaluation method.
矿业权评价方法的优化
矿业权评价方法体系的逐步形成,为国内矿业权评价活动提供了坚实的支撑。但是,实践结果表明,现有的矿业权评价方法仍有改进的空间。本文从基本原理出发,分析了贴现现金流量法、可比销售法和期权估值法的不足,认为在采用贴现现金流量法的计算方法中,提前扣除年度净现金流量贡献额或投资回报率,会造成矿业权价格估值偏低,大大增加了采矿业相关行政工作的不确定性和复杂性;在期权评估方法中,直接以矿业权有效期作为期权期限的处理方法忽视了矿业权实施的周期性特点,明显偏离了矿业发展的实际。在此基础上提出了改进的思路,即在运用现金流量折现法时,应将对矿业投资者合理利益的保障纳入折现率的设定中;在运用期权评估法时,期权的有效期限应为矿业权的有效期限减去对租赁权内资源的开采和开发所必需的基本周期后的期限。基于这一思路,本文对贴现现金流量法和期权评估法的计算方法进行了改进。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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