Optimal Investment Strategies under Stochastic Volatility - Estimation and Applications

C. Chiarella, Chih-ying Hsiao
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of stochastic volatility (SV) on optimal investment decisions. We consider three different SV models: an extended Stein/Stein model, the Heston Model and an extended Heston Model with a constant elasticity variance (CEV) process and derive the the long-term optimal investment strategies under each of these processes. Since volatility is not a directly observable quantity, extended Kalman filter techniques are adopted to deal with this partial information problem. Optimal investment strategies based on the CEV volatility model are obtained by adopting the Backward Markov Chain approximation method since analytical solutions are no longer available. We find in the empirical investigation that the Heston model is favored as a more parsimonious model compared with the other two models. All three investment strategies based on the three SV models contain a positive intertemporal hedging term in addition to the static mean-variance portfolio. However, in their details the three investment strategies differ from each other. We also ?nd that the investment strategies are sensitive to the CEV parameter.
随机波动下的最优投资策略——估计及应用
本文研究了随机波动率对最优投资决策的影响。本文考虑了三种不同的SV模型:扩展的Stein/Stein模型、Heston模型和具有恒定弹性方差(CEV)过程的扩展Heston模型,并推导了每种模型下的长期最优投资策略。由于波动率不是一个直接可观测的量,采用扩展卡尔曼滤波技术来处理这一部分信息问题。基于CEV波动率模型的最优投资策略,由于无法得到解析解,采用后向马尔可夫链近似方法。实证研究发现,与其他两种模型相比,赫斯顿模型是一种更为简洁的模型。基于三种SV模型的三种投资策略除了静态均值-方差组合外,都包含一个正的跨期套期保值项。然而,在细节上,这三种投资策略彼此不同。我们还发现投资策略对CEV参数很敏感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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