Moderated Mediation Effects of Economic Freedom on FDI Under Different Levels of Political Stability

Ilija Stojanović
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Abstract

Global competitiveness position is perceived as a highly relevant enabler for attracting foreign direct investments. Our study goes beyond this well-known fact to understand whether economic freedom indicators are relevant cause for global competitiveness in attracting foreign direct investments and how this relationship behaves in different conditions of political stability. We focused our empirical study to mediating and moderating processes through which global competitiveness is linked with FDI. We developed and tested a second stage moderated parallel mediation model to observe mediating effects of economic freedom and moderating effects of political stability. Our research was focused on mediating effects of several indicators of Economic Freedom including Size of Government, Legal System & Property Rights, Sound Money, Freedom to trade internationally and Regulation. The findings indicate that Legal System & Property Rights and Freedom to trade internationally have positive conditional indirect effects within the model. Freedom to trade internationally is a much more sensible mediator variable in case of different levels of political stability while Legal System & Property Rights is not significantly affected by political stability, strengthening economic freedom in these two dimensions provides an enhanced effect of existing competitiveness on FDI growth. We recognized that political stability has no influence on the indirect effects between competitiveness and inward FDI produced by Legal System & Property Rights, as one of the dimensions of economic freedom. Therefore, to attract FDI in unstable political conditions is very useful to establish a proper legal system and adequate protection of property rights. In such a legal environment, foreign investors will feel comfortable regardless of the political risks in the country. Freedom to trade internationally is a much more sensible mediator variable under the influence of political instability.
不同政治稳定水平下经济自由度对FDI的调节中介效应
全球竞争力地位被认为是吸引外国直接投资的一个高度相关的促成因素。我们的研究超越了这一众所周知的事实,以了解经济自由指标是否与吸引外国直接投资的全球竞争力相关,以及这种关系在不同的政治稳定条件下如何表现。我们将实证研究的重点放在了全球竞争力与外国直接投资之间的中介和调节过程上。我们开发并检验了第二阶段调节平行中介模型,以观察经济自由的中介效应和政治稳定的调节效应。我们的研究重点是经济自由的几个指标的中介效应,包括政府规模、法律制度和产权、健全的货币、国际贸易自由和监管。研究结果表明,法律制度与产权和国际贸易自由在模型内具有正向的条件间接效应。在不同政治稳定水平的情况下,国际贸易自由是一个更明智的中介变量,而法律制度和产权不受政治稳定的显著影响,加强这两个维度的经济自由可以增强现有竞争力对外国直接投资增长的影响。我们认识到,作为经济自由的一个维度,政治稳定对法律制度和产权所产生的竞争力和外国直接投资之间的间接影响没有影响。因此,在不稳定的政治条件下吸引外国直接投资对建立适当的法律制度和充分保护产权是非常有益的。在这样的法律环境下,外国投资者将会感到舒适,而不管该国的政治风险。在政治不稳定的影响下,国际贸易自由是一个更为明智的中介变量。
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