Long Short-Term Memory Networks for Forecasting Demand in the Case of Automotive Manufacturing Industry

Hédir Oukassi, M. Hasni, S. Layeb
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Abstract

With the rising of deep learning, neural networks have shown promising results for time series forecasting. In this paper, we investigate a deep learning-based approach for the demand forecasting method: the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with the so-called Seq-2-Seq encoder-decoder architecture. To assess the performance of the proposed approach, a real-world case study was conducted for a Japanese company in the automotive manufacturing industry. In addition, the performance of the LSTM-based method is compared to the usually-used AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method via several statistical metrics such as MSE and RMSE. The numerical experiments showed that the proposed LSTM based-approach outperforms ARIMA.
汽车制造业需求预测的长短期记忆网络
随着深度学习的兴起,神经网络在时间序列预测方面显示出了良好的效果。在本文中,我们研究了一种基于深度学习的需求预测方法:使用所谓的Seq-2-Seq编码器-解码器架构的长短期记忆(LSTM)。为了评估所提出的方法的性能,对一家日本汽车制造行业的公司进行了实际案例研究。此外,通过MSE和RMSE等统计指标,比较了基于lstm的方法与常用的自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)方法的性能。数值实验表明,基于LSTM的方法优于ARIMA。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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