Contributions

Chun-HungKuo
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Abstract

Focusing on both hiring and firing margins, this paper revisits effects of fiscal stimulus on unemployment. We develop a DSGE model with search frictions where job separation is endogenously determined. The predictions of the model are in contrast with earlier studies that assume exogenous separation. Our model can capture the empirical pattern of responses of the job finding, separation, and unemployment rates to a government spending shock, obtained from a structural VAR model with the US data. However, our model fails to capture the response of vacancies and the volatility of unemployment. We discuss the roles of cyclical movements of matching efficiency and labor force participation to fix this model’s shortcoming.
贡献
本文着眼于雇佣和解雇利润,重新审视了财政刺激对失业的影响。我们开发了一个具有搜索摩擦的DSGE模型,其中工作分离是内生决定的。该模型的预测与早期假设外生分离的研究相反。我们的模型可以捕捉到就业、离职和失业率对政府支出冲击的反应的经验模式,这些反应来自美国数据的结构性VAR模型。然而,我们的模型未能捕捉到职位空缺和失业波动的反应。本文讨论了匹配效率的周期性变动和劳动力参与的作用,以弥补该模型的不足。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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