Economic Analysis of Low Salinity Polymer Flooding Potential in the Niger Delta Oil Fields

K. K. Ihekoronye, N. C. NIzuwa, B. Obah, S. Ekwueme
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Abstract

With the current growing demand for oil, oil price and the concerns about future oil supplies increases the pressure in securing oil resources. Enhanced oil recovery processes are applied to recover oil not produced by natural and secondary energy drive of the reservoir. In this study, Simulation has been carried out on a hypothetical model using (ECLIPSE 100) as the simulator. Three cases natural depletion, waterflooding, and injection of low saline polymer were considered.5-spot pattern of four vertical producers wells and one vertical injector well was used as a hypothetical well model. Economics analysis were carried out in this three scenario to determine their net present value, profit per dollar invested, payout and Discounted flow-rate of return. The results shows that low salinity polymer flooding has the highest recovery of 62% and profit with NPV @ 10 ($412.9MM), payout 0.9 years, profit per dollar invested $25.9 and dcf-ror 82%. However, waterflooding gave recovery of 42%. NPV @10 ($ 317.3MM), payout 1.2 years, profit per dollar invested $20.8, dcf-ror 78%. Natural depletion gave recovery of 16.5 %, profit with NPV @10 (230.0MM), payout 1.0 years, profit per dollar invested $9.3, dcf-ror 78%. Decision rule was applied using NPV, DCF-ROR, NCR and payout which states that project with higher NPV, DCF-ROR, NCR and less Payout are more economically viable. The result of the three cases considered shows that low salinity polymer injection is more profitable followed by waterflooding and natural depletion.
尼日尔三角洲油田低矿化度聚合物驱潜力经济分析
随着当前石油需求的增长,油价上涨以及对未来石油供应的担忧增加了确保石油资源的压力。采用提高采收率的方法来开采非天然和二次能源驱动的油层。本研究以(ECLIPSE 100)为模拟器,对一个假设模型进行了仿真。考虑了自然衰竭、水驱和注入低盐聚合物三种情况。采用4口垂直生产井和1口垂直注入井的5点模式作为假设井模型。在这三种情况下进行了经济分析,以确定他们的净现值,每美元投资的利润,支付和贴现流回报率。结果表明,低矿化度聚合物驱的最高采收率为62%,NPV为10(4.129亿美元),投资周期为0.9年,每投资1美元的收益为25.9美元,dcf为82%。然而,注水采收率为42%。NPV @10(3.173亿美元),支付1.2年,每投资1美元的利润为20.8美元,dcf回报率为78%。自然枯竭的回收率为16.5%,净现值为10 (230.0MM)的利润,支付期为1.0年,每美元投资的利润为9.3美元,dcf为78%。运用NPV、DCF-ROR、NCR和支出的决策规则,得出NPV、DCF-ROR、NCR越高、支出越少的项目在经济上越可行。三种情况的分析结果表明,低矿化度聚合物注入更有利,其次是水驱和自然衰竭。
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