Risk Management and Derivatives Losses

Gabriel Levin-Konigsberg, Hillary Stein, Vicente García Averell, Calixto López Castañón
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Abstract

: Even though financial risk management has the ability to generate value, the use of financial derivatives among nonfinancial corporations remains limited. We identify a channel that contributes to this limited use: the decoupling of derivatives losses and operational gains. Specifically, firms ex post consider their operational profits separately from their derivatives profits. We explore this phenomenon among firms in Mexico. We use the universe of US dollar-Mexican peso currency derivatives transactions in Mexico along with customs data to construct a unique data set on operational exchange rate exposure and financial hedging. We find that contrary to a rational and frictionless benchmark, performance in previous derivatives transactions predicts future derivatives use. Using a regression kink design to measure the impact of decoupling on risk management, we find that when losses from previous transactions increase 1 percentage point, firms become 4.24 percentage points less likely to take out a new derivatives position within 90 days. We provide further evidence that is consistent with decoupling and supports rejecting a net worth channel.
风险管理和衍生品损失
尽管金融风险管理具有创造价值的能力,但非金融企业对金融衍生品的使用仍然有限。我们确定了一个有助于这种有限使用的渠道:衍生品损失和经营收益的脱钩。具体来说,公司事后将其经营利润与衍生品利润分开考虑。我们在墨西哥的公司中探讨了这一现象。我们利用墨西哥的美元-墨西哥比索货币衍生品交易以及海关数据,构建了一个关于操作汇率风险敞口和金融对冲的独特数据集。我们发现,与理性和无摩擦基准相反,以前衍生品交易的表现预测了未来衍生品的使用。使用回归扭结设计来衡量脱钩对风险管理的影响,我们发现,当先前交易的损失增加1个百分点时,公司在90天内建立新衍生品头寸的可能性降低4.24个百分点。我们提供了与脱钩一致的进一步证据,并支持拒绝净值通道。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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