The Structural Peculiarities of Statistical Interrelationships in Econometric Analysis of Multivariate Sample Data: An Overview and Methodical Recommendations for Students

A. Rozentsvaig, D. Fedorov, R. Ziatdinov
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Abstract

The general theory in economics is largely descriptive; therefore, its mathematical models are not only statistical but also particular. In the study of economic phenomena, it is usually necessary to use particular methods and thereby receive only particular solutions. Particular conditions limit the application of such methods, for example, types of economic activities and their place and time of implementation. The general solution to a mathematical problem allows for obtaining a particular solution of almost any initial and boundary conditions. In contrast to the general methods of mathematics, under which we find general solutions to whole classes of problems, in economics, solutions are always particular. We can only reach a true understanding of the character of the economic phenomenon that interests us through statistical data analysis. Correlation analysis is a time-consuming and completely nonformalizable task, necessary for identifying the dynamic of relationships between a large number of factors. Additionally, the nature of statistical models used for obtaining the sample estimates of parameters predetermines the quality and interpretation of the results of statistical analysis. Due to the complexity of multivariate statistical models, the assumption that the sample data follow a multidimensional normal distribution usually limits the common theoretical view. This greatly assists in performing standard multivariate analysis but always leads to a linear regression. The result is an oversimplified model of the correlations that develop in real conditions. The economic structure of each object is unique. Therefore, we propose to illustrate it with a system of correlation matrices of different orders. We propose that the synthesis of large quantities of multivariate sample data via snapshots of correlation matrices visually represents the specific features of the object of study. Employing such snapshots converts the empirical system of statistically significant relationships to the desired model of economic relationships. We establish the preconditions for the practical use of the generic methods of system analysis, based on modern theoretical and software tools.
多元样本数据计量经济分析中统计相互关系的结构特点:概述和对学生的方法建议
经济学的一般理论在很大程度上是描述性的;因此,它的数学模型不仅具有统计学意义,而且具有特殊性。在经济现象的研究中,通常需要使用特定的方法,从而只得到特定的解。特殊条件限制了这种方法的适用,例如,经济活动的类型及其实施的地点和时间。数学问题的通解允许得到几乎任何初始条件和边界条件的特解。与一般的数学方法不同,在一般的数学方法下,我们可以找到所有问题的一般解,而在经济学中,解总是特殊的。只有通过统计数据分析,我们才能真正理解我们感兴趣的经济现象的特征。相关性分析是一项耗时且完全非形式化的任务,对于识别大量因素之间的动态关系是必要的。此外,用于获得参数样本估计的统计模型的性质预先决定了统计分析结果的质量和解释。由于多元统计模型的复杂性,假设样本数据服从多维正态分布通常限制了一般的理论观点。这极大地有助于执行标准的多变量分析,但总是导致线性回归。其结果是一个在真实条件下发展的过于简化的相关性模型。每个对象的经济结构都是独一无二的。因此,我们建议用不同阶的相关矩阵系统来说明它。我们提出,通过相关矩阵的快照来合成大量的多元样本数据,可以直观地表示研究对象的具体特征。采用这种快照将统计显著关系的经验系统转换为所需的经济关系模型。我们在现代理论和软件工具的基础上,为系统分析的一般方法的实际应用建立了先决条件。
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