Foreign aid to Africa after the global financial crisis: A consideration in retrospect

L. Anochiwa, Roseline Sama
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Abstract

Several projections were made during and after the Global financial crises of 2007-2009 about the continuity of foreign aid to Africa.Some opined that the financial crises will reach Sub Saharan Africa via the decline of foreign aid as well as other financial transfers such as remittances and Foreign Direct Investment. It is on this premise that this study examined the flow of foreign aid to Africa in an effort to appreciate the trend before, during and after the Global financial crisis. The study used trend charts and the Bai-Perron multiple structural break test as well as the Chow test to analyse data sourced from the World Bank Indicators. The results show that, though Overall ODA dropped in 2007, it consistently increased up to 2013 by 25%. The structural break test shows that the trend of ODA has not significantly changed as a result of the Global financial crisis for; low, lower middle, higher middle and Sub Saharan countries as a whole. The result further shows that ODA to low income countries were higher than those of lower middle income countries which was equally higher than higher middle income countries. ODA to the agricultural, educational and economic infrastructural sector all increased after 2009. It is only ODA to the health sector that dropped significantly. The study concludes that Foreign aid to Africa has not declined, but rather improved in most cases. It therefore commends the efforts of aid donors and emphasizes the complementing role of foreign aid to Africa.
全球金融危机后对非洲的援助:一个回顾
在2007-2009年全球金融危机期间和之后,人们对外国对非洲援助的连续性做出了一些预测。一些人认为,金融危机将通过外国援助以及汇款和外国直接投资等其他金融转移的减少而波及撒哈拉以南非洲。正是在这个前提下,本研究考察了对非洲的外援流动,以努力了解全球金融危机之前、期间和之后的趋势。本研究使用趋势图和Bai-Perron多重结构断裂检验以及Chow检验来分析来自世界银行指标的数据。结果显示,尽管2007年总体官方发展援助有所下降,但到2013年持续增长了25%。结构断裂检验表明,全球金融危机对官方发展援助的影响没有显著变化;低收入、中低、中高和撒哈拉以南的国家。结果进一步表明,对低收入国家的官方发展援助高于中等偏下收入国家,中等偏下收入国家的官方发展援助同样高于中等偏上收入国家。对农业、教育和经济基础设施部门的官方发展援助在2009年后都有所增加。只有对卫生部门的官方发展援助大幅减少。该研究的结论是,在大多数情况下,外国对非洲的援助并没有减少,而是有所改善。因此,它赞扬援助捐助国的努力,并强调外国援助对非洲的补充作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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