Predictive Ability of Financial Ratio to Corporate Bankruptcy: An Empirical Analysis

Wen Du
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Abstract

—Business failure is the most serious financial dilemma and attracted high attention from market participants[4].Based on the research that is widely explored by related experts and scholars and according to the sample of US failed firms and non-failed firms in 2009 and 2019 selected from the dataset of WRDS, this paper uses financial ratios from the public financial statements of listed companies to conduct a study on the prediction of the probability of company bankruptcy.The analysis shows that some financial ratios, such as the ratios of shareholder equity to total liabilities and net income to total assets, have better predictive capabilities, and that the ratio of sales to total assets may not be an important indicator of predicting corporate insolvency.
财务比率对企业破产预测能力的实证分析
——经营失败是最严重的财务困境,受到市场参与者的高度关注[4]。本文在相关专家学者广泛探索的研究基础上,根据WRDS数据集中选取的2009年和2019年美国破产公司和非破产公司样本,利用上市公司公开财务报表中的财务比率对公司破产概率的预测进行研究。分析表明,一些财务比率,如股东权益与总负债的比率和净收入与总资产的比率,具有较好的预测能力,销售额与总资产的比率可能不是预测公司破产的重要指标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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