Causality test among foreign direct investment, trade openness and economic growth: recent evidence from BRICS and MINT countries

Sevilay Küçüksakarya
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Abstract

This study attempts to find new evidence of causality between foreign direct investment, trade openness, and economic growth for BRICS and MINT countries between 1990-2021 using the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test. We first check whether there is a cross-sectional dependence between the countries using different cross-sectional dependence tests. After we find out there is cross-sectional dependence, we perform the CIPS unit root test. All variables are stationary at their first differences, so we applied the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test. There is bi-directional causality between trade openness and economic growth only for MINT countries. For BRICS, we found unidirectional relationships between economic growth and foreign direct investment and trade openness to economic growth. There is a unidirectional relationship from trade openness to foreign direct investment for both country groups.
外国直接投资、贸易开放和经济增长之间的因果关系检验:来自金砖国家和薄荷四国的最新证据
本研究试图利用dumitrescui - hurlin面板因果关系检验,寻找1990-2021年间金砖国家和薄荷四国的外国直接投资、贸易开放和经济增长之间因果关系的新证据。我们首先使用不同的横断面依赖检验来检查国家之间是否存在横断面依赖。在发现存在横截面相关性后,我们进行CIPS单位根检验。所有变量在第一次差异处都是平稳的,因此我们采用了dumitrescup - hurlin面板因果检验。贸易开放与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系。对于金砖国家,我们发现经济增长与外国直接投资和贸易开放对经济增长之间存在单向关系。从贸易开放到外国直接投资,这两个国家集团之间存在单向关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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