Load Forecasting Method of Integrated Energy System Based on CNN-BiLSTM with Attention Mechanism

Yuqiang Wang, Ming Zhong, Junfei Han, Hongbin Hu, Qin Yan
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Load forecasting of integrated energy system is an important part of economic dispatch and optimal operation of integrated energy system. In order to solve the user level load characteristics of integrated energy system with strong volatility and complex multi energy coupling, a user level load forecasting method of integrated energy system based on CNN-BiLSTM with attention mechanism is proposed in this paper. Firstly, Pearson correlation coefficient is used to analyze the time correlation and multi energy load correlation of user level load. Then, a user level load forecasting method of integrated energy system based on CBLA is proposed. Finally, taking the energy consumption data of the actual integrated energy system as an example, the prediction effect is analyzed. By comparing with other prediction methods, it proves that the proposed method can effectively improve the load forecasting accuracy.
基于关注机制的CNN-BiLSTM综合能源系统负荷预测方法
综合能源系统负荷预测是综合能源系统经济调度和优化运行的重要组成部分。针对综合能源系统用户级负荷波动性强、多能耦合复杂的特点,提出了一种基于CNN-BiLSTM的具有注意机制的综合能源系统用户级负荷预测方法。首先,利用Pearson相关系数分析用户级负荷的时间相关性和多能负荷相关性;然后,提出了一种基于CBLA的综合能源系统用户级负荷预测方法。最后,以实际综合能源系统的能耗数据为例,对预测效果进行了分析。通过与其他预测方法的比较,证明该方法能有效提高负荷预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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