Analysis on the Impact of Human Psychological on Economic Irrational Exuberance

Zhongyue Lin
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Abstract

"Irrational Exuberance" is a concept put forward by Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan on the US stock market bubble in 1996. There are many "Irrational Exuberance" in the world economy's history, which is the embodiment of the bubble economy. However, the existing economic theories cannot entirely explain why "Irrational Exuberance" occurs and why "Irrational Exuberance" leads to an economic crisis. Therefore, it is essential to find a new interpretation method. In the past economic theories, the impact of human psychological activities on the economy was often underestimated. This is why this research contains many of the latest knowledge and discoveries about the impact of human psychology on the economy. So far, the main reason for human mental activity is believed to be related to individual self-cognition and feedback. Besides, feedback to information, lack of experience, environmental impact, etc. affect the changes in human psychological activities. Since it is found that individual psychological changes impact group psychological changes, the hypothesis of psychological activity communication is proposed, including "bounded rationality," systematic cognitive bias, the influence of mass media, confidence multiplier hypothesis, and group unconsciousness.
人的心理对经济非理性繁荣的影响分析
“非理性繁荣”是美联储主席格林斯潘1996年针对美国股市泡沫提出的一个概念。世界经济史上出现过多次“非理性繁荣”,都是泡沫经济的体现。然而,现有的经济理论并不能完全解释“非理性繁荣”为什么会发生,以及“非理性繁荣”为什么会导致经济危机。因此,寻找一种新的解释方法至关重要。在过去的经济理论中,人的心理活动对经济的影响往往被低估。这就是为什么这项研究包含了许多关于人类心理对经济影响的最新知识和发现。到目前为止,人们认为人类心理活动的主要原因与个体的自我认知和反馈有关。此外,对信息的反馈、经验的缺乏、环境的影响等影响着人类心理活动的变化。由于发现个体心理变化影响群体心理变化,因此提出了心理活动传播假说,包括“有限理性”、系统认知偏差、大众媒介的影响、信心乘数假说和群体无意识假说。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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