Analysis of Causes of Sudden Death Among Russian Railway Workers

E. Zhidkova, E. Gutor, K. Gurevich, Nikita V. Makogon, Z. Shugushev, D. O. Orlov, O.N. Dzhioyeva, O. Drapkina
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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Health protection of railway workers of various professional groups increases the safety of railway transport, the prestige of the profession and reduces morbidity and mortality from the most common causes in this group of patients. AIM: To analyze the risk factors of sudden death among Russian Railways workers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The design of the study is made according to the case-control type. Analysis was carried out of all cases of sudden death (SD) of employees of JSCo Russian Railways (RR) in the period from 2009 to 2021 (n = 412). The comparison group consisted of 411 employees of RR who were undergoing periodical medical examination. The groups were formed on the basis of age, employment period, gender, profession. To assess the diagnostic significance of the quantitative signs in predicting a certain outcome, the method of analysis of ROC curves was used. RESULTS: The chances of death for workers of RR increased in case of past myocardial infarction, and also depended on the type of intervention (p 0.001). The threshold value of the BMI index in the cut-off point, which corresponded to the highest value of Youden index, was 27.1 kg/m2. In the group of sudden deaths, there were 1.8 times more smokers and 2 times less individuals with total cholesterol level exceeding 5 mmol/l than in the comparison group (p 0.001). A prognostic model was developed by ROC-analysis to determine the probability of mortality. The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 79.5% and 91.9%, respectively. CONCLUSION: A prognostic model was developed to determine the probability of sudden death in Russian railway workers, with the sensitivity and specificity 79.5% and 91.9%, respectively. However, the present study did not permit to reveal predictors of sudden death specific of the workers of RR.
俄罗斯铁路工人猝死原因分析
导读:对各专业群体的铁路工人进行健康保护,可以提高铁路运输的安全性,提高该行业的声誉,并减少这类患者中最常见原因的发病率和死亡率。目的:分析俄罗斯铁路职工猝死的危险因素。材料与方法:本研究按病例-对照法设计。对2009 - 2021年JSCo俄罗斯铁路公司(RR)员工猝死(SD)的所有病例(n = 412)进行分析。对照组为定期体检的RR员工411人。这些群体是根据年龄、就业期、性别、职业组成的。为了评估定量指标对预测某一结局的诊断意义,采用ROC曲线分析的方法。结果:有心肌梗死病史的RR工人死亡几率增加,且与干预方式有关(p < 0.001)。分界点BMI指数阈值为27.1 kg/m2,与约登指数最高值相对应。在猝死组中,吸烟者比对照组多1.8倍,总胆固醇水平超过5 mmol/l的人少2倍(p < 0.001)。通过roc分析建立预后模型以确定死亡概率。该模型的敏感性为79.5%,特异性为91.9%。结论:建立了预测俄罗斯铁路职工猝死概率的预后模型,敏感性79.5%,特异性91.9%。然而,目前的研究并没有允许揭示突发死亡的预测特异性的工人RR。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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