On the Estimation of Empirical Copulas and Joint Densities

Y. Zang
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Abstract

Extended Abstract Copulas are principally utilized for modelling dependencies in multivariate distributions. The key idea behind copulas is that the joint distribution of two or more variables can be represented in terms of their marginal distributions and a specific correlation structure. As a measure of dependence, they have for instance found applications in reliability theory, signal processing, geodesy, hydrology and medicine. Results involving empirical bivariate copula densities are discussed in this presentation. In the proposed methodology, kernel density estimates are utilized to determine the marginal distributions. Then, a moment-based approximation technique for estimating a copula density from bivariate observations is introduced. This approach relies on the estimated joint density, the marginal densities and polynomial representations of the inverse marginal distribution functions. The joint density can be determined by multiplying a base density by a bivariate polynomial whose coefficients are obtained from the joint moments of the distributions. The degrees of the bivariate polynomial adjustment will be selected according to a certain goodness-of-fit criterion. The resulting simple representation of this copula density is suitable for reporting purposes or carrying out further algebraic manipulation. A new approach for obtaining an initial copula density estimate from Deheuvels’ empirical copula is also proposed. For a given bivariate data set, Deheuvels’ copula is evaluated and approximated by means of a bivariate least-squares polynomial. On differentiating this polynomial estimate with respect to both variables, one can obtain a preliminary estimate of the copula density function. Additionally, of a joint density function from the support of a density estimate of the standardized vector, which is taken to be a rectangle. turns out the domain of the original distribution can be delimited by a parallelogram once the back transformation is applied. joint density a
关于经验copula和关节密度的估计
扩展抽象copula主要用于多变量分布中的依赖关系建模。copula背后的关键思想是,两个或多个变量的联合分布可以用它们的边际分布和特定的相关结构来表示。作为一种依赖性的度量,它们在可靠性理论、信号处理、大地测量学、水文学和医学中都有应用。本报告讨论了涉及经验二元联结密度的结果。在该方法中,利用核密度估计来确定边缘分布。然后,介绍了一种基于矩的从二元观测值估计联结密度的近似技术。该方法依赖于估计的联合密度、边际密度和反边际分布函数的多项式表示。联合密度可以通过基密度乘以二元多项式来确定,二元多项式的系数由分布的联合矩获得。根据一定的拟合优度准则来选择二元多项式平差的度数。这种联结密度的简单表示适合于报告目的或进行进一步的代数操作。本文还提出了一种从德赫维尔经验联结得到初始联结密度估计的新方法。对于给定的二元数据集,用二元最小二乘多项式对Deheuvels copula进行了估计和近似。对这个多项式估计对两个变量求导,就可以得到联结密度函数的初步估计。另外,从一个标准化向量的密度估计的支持的联合密度函数,它被认为是一个矩形。结果表明,一旦应用反向变换,原始分布的定义域可以由平行四边形划分。关节密度a
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