Empirical analysis on causal relationship between institution and economic development based on VAR method

Yu Jinyu, He Zhi-xing
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Abstract

Economic development level has important effect on the institution. And economic development is an adjustment process of stock variable. Thus, it is difficult to achieve desired results for the institution transplanting. Under different conditions and during different period, the relationship between the institution and economic development is different. A theoretical model on causal relationship between institution and economic development was established, based on VAR (vector auto-regression) method, and the relationship was affirmed.
基于VAR方法的制度与经济发展因果关系实证分析
经济发展水平对制度有重要影响。经济发展是一个存量变量的调整过程。因此,制度移植很难达到预期的效果。在不同条件下、不同时期,制度与经济发展的关系是不同的。基于VAR(向量自回归)方法,建立了制度与经济发展因果关系的理论模型,并对两者之间的关系进行了肯定。
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