Changing Voter Appeal

Catherine E. De Vries, S. Hobolt
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Abstract

This chapter assesses whether the innovation strategies of challenger parties are successful in terms of extending their voter base and generating more votes. Challenger parties innovate by mobilizing high appropriability issues that are difficult to handle for dominant parties because they risk splitting their rank and file. Challenger parties also aim to protect their innovation and first-mover advantage by discrediting rivals. This twofold approach based on policy and rhetoric is aimed at increasing electoral appeal and thus breaking the brand loyalty of voters to dominant parties. The chapter then considers two expectations which can be derived from this book's theory of political change. First, challenger parties that innovate want to attract new voters, and by doing so break the market power of dominant parties. Second, when choosing a challenger over a dominant party, voters should be voting on the basis of high appropriability issues and motivated by antiestablishment considerations. The chapter empirically tests these expectations by combining data for over 200 parties between 1950 and 2017 in 18 West European countries with survey data for over 18,000 individuals in 17 West European countries in 2014.
不断变化的选民诉求
本章评估了挑战者政党的创新策略在扩大选民基础和获得更多选票方面是否成功。挑战者政党通过动员高适当性问题进行创新,这些问题对于执政党来说很难处理,因为它们有分裂其基层的风险。挑战者政党也希望通过诋毁对手来保护自己的创新和先发优势。这种以政策和修辞为基础的双重策略旨在提高选举吸引力,从而打破选民对主导政党的品牌忠诚度。然后,本章考虑了两种期望,这两种期望可以从本书的政治变革理论中推导出来。首先,创新的挑战者政党想要吸引新选民,并通过这样做打破主导政党的市场力量。其次,在选择挑战者而不是一个占主导地位的政党时,选民应该基于高度适当性问题和反建制考虑的动机进行投票。本章通过将1950年至2017年18个西欧国家200多个政党的数据与2014年17个西欧国家1.8万多人的调查数据相结合,对这些预期进行了实证检验。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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