Research on LSTM-XGBoost Integrated Model of Photovoltaic Power Forecasting System

J. Xue, Xucheng Hu, Haifeng Chen, Gang Zhou
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In view of the insufficient feature extraction that affects the accuracy of photovoltaic forecasting, a photovoltaic power generation power forecasting model is presented, which integrates the Long Short-Time Memory (LSTM) algorithm and the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. In this paper, the advantages and disadvantages of LSTM algorithm and XGBoost algorithm are analyzed, and the advantages of the two forecasting models are integrated to obtain a more accurate forecasting model, XGBoost-LSTM; and compare the model with the popular Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Deep Belief network, DBN). The experimental results show that the PV power forecasting model based on XGBoost-LSTM integration has higher forecasting accuracy, which has guiding value for photovoltaic grid-connected and off-grid.
光伏功率预测系统LSTM-XGBoost集成模型研究
针对特征提取不足影响光伏发电预测精度的问题,提出了一种集成了长短时记忆(LSTM)算法和极限梯度提升(XGBoost)算法的光伏发电功率预测模型。本文对LSTM算法和XGBoost算法的优缺点进行了分析,并将两种预测模型的优点进行了整合,得到了更准确的预测模型XGBoost-LSTM;并将该模型与流行的门控循环单元(GRU)和深度信念网络(DBN)进行比较。实验结果表明,基于XGBoost-LSTM集成的光伏功率预测模型具有较高的预测精度,对光伏并网和离网具有指导价值。
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