Holy or Unholy Alliance? Political Coalition, Interest Articulation and Governance in New Democracies

Mustapha Salihu
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Abstract

Employing qualitative content analysis and building on the submissions of coalition data theories, the study ascertains the governability and extent to which Nigeria’s ruling coalition, the All Progressives Congress (APC) is able to effectively aggregate various political interests and deliver on its campaign promises. Within mainstream studies, there is a consensus on the uphill task of labelling political parties as office, or policy seeking, exclusively. Nonetheless, the study argues, despite running on key programs of fighting corruption, countering Boko Haram and diversifying the economy, the APC fits the description of an office-seeking coalition. Although the party attracted key regional power brokers from two main opposition parties, the Congress for Progressive Change and Action Congress, and aggrieved members of the former ruling party, now main opposition the then ruling People’s Democratic Party. Shortly after it took power in 2015, the APC could not reach a consensus on the appointment of principal officers for the 8th National Assembly, as this was the practice. The maneuverings that led to the selection process, the uneasy relationship between legislature and executive, as well as attempts by leaders from coalescing parties to superimpose on the party which had adverse effects on the supremacy of Nigeria’s ruling coalition and institutionalization of partisan party politics. While conflicts of interests are not unusual in politics, its prevalence within Nigeria’s ruling coalition adversely affects the probability of the party to actualize its campaign programs, given the seeming battle for the soul of the party. However, the dissolution of the party’s National Working Committee in 2020 and the constitution of the APC Caretaker committee by President Muhammad Buhari suggests, the party is making conscious attempts to reconcile aggrieved members, register new members and retrace its steps in preparation for the 2023 general election.
神圣联盟还是邪恶联盟?新民主国家的政治联盟、利益衔接与治理
采用定性内容分析和建立在提交的联盟数据理论的基础上,该研究确定了尼日利亚执政联盟的治理能力和程度,即所有进步大会(APC)能够有效地聚集各种政治利益并履行其竞选承诺。在主流研究中,有一项艰巨的任务是将政党标记为办公室或政策寻求者。尽管如此,该研究认为,尽管APC实施了打击腐败、打击博科圣地和实现经济多元化的关键项目,但它符合一个寻求职位的联盟的描述。尽管该党吸引了两个主要反对党——进步变革大会党和行动大会党——以及前执政党中愤愤不平的成员——现在是主要反对党,当时的执政党人民民主党——的关键地区权力掮客。2015年执政后不久,大国家党在第8届国会主要议员任命问题上未能达成共识,这是惯例。导致选举过程的操纵,立法机关和行政机关之间不稳定的关系,以及联合政党领导人试图对政党施加影响,这些都对尼日利亚执政联盟的至高无上地位和党派政治的制度化产生了不利影响。虽然利益冲突在政治中并不罕见,但在尼日利亚执政联盟中普遍存在的利益冲突,对该党实现其竞选计划的可能性产生了不利影响,因为这似乎是在为该党的灵魂而战。然而,2020年该党全国工作委员会的解散和总统穆罕默德·布哈里的APC看守委员会的宪法表明,该党正在有意识地试图调和受害的成员,登记新成员,并为2023年大选做准备。
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