SOCIETAL CONSEQUENCES OF MODERN HYBRID WAR: KEY DIMENSIONS IN THE CONTEXT OF UKRAINE

Tetiana Burlay, A. Grytsenko, O. Borzenko
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Abstract

Russian-Ukrainian war is the gravest display of the global tension in the hybrid system where war and peace compete as dominant world orders. In view of this, the paper presents the key dimensions of warfare’s societal consequences in the context of the Ukrainian situation. Notably, the ongoing full-scale military conflict has all the characteristics of a hybrid war, unprecedented in its scale in the contemporary history of Europe. In the context of creating a strategic vision of postwar recovery goals and long-term development of the Ukrainian state, the societal consequences of a hybrid war waged against Ukraine must be investigated. The example of Ukraine is used as a backdrop for a detailed assessment of societal consequences of a modern hybrid war in three dimensions – demographic, socio-economic, and macrofinancial aspects. Analysis results indicate the risks inherent in offsetting the societal consequences of the Russian invasion into Ukraine. It is concluded that societal methodology is suitable for exploring the current dynamic transformations in society and its integral structures, and that the application of this methodology should be popularized.
现代混合战争的社会后果:乌克兰背景下的关键维度
俄乌战争是在战争与和平作为主导世界秩序相互竞争的混合体系中全球紧张局势的最严重表现。鉴于此,本文在乌克兰局势的背景下提出了战争的社会后果的关键方面。值得注意的是,正在进行的全面军事冲突具有混合战争的所有特征,其规模在当代欧洲历史上是前所未有的。在制定战后恢复目标和乌克兰国家长期发展战略愿景的背景下,对乌克兰发动混合战争的社会后果必须进行调查。本文以乌克兰为背景,从人口、社会经济和宏观金融三个方面详细评估现代混合战争的社会后果。分析结果表明,抵消俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的社会后果所固有的风险。结论是,社会方法论适合于探索当前社会及其整体结构的动态变化,并应推广应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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