Measuring and Analyzing Effects of HEMP Simulation on Synthetic Power Grids

Carson L. May, A. Barnes, Jose E. Tabarez, Adam Mate, E. M. Nelson, R. Guttromson
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Abstract

There is significant uncertainty about the potential effects of a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) detonation on the bulk electric system. This study attempts to account for such uncertainty, in using Monte-Carlo methods to account for speculated range of effect of HEMP contingency. Through task parallelism and asynchronous processing techniques implemented throughout simulation, this study measure the effects of 700 large-scale HEMP simulations on a 7173 bus synthetic power grid. Analysis explores how contingency severity varies, depending on initial contingency parameters. Severity indices were captured throughout simulation to measure and quantity the cascading nature of an HEMP event. Further development of HEMP simulation modeling is explored as well, which could augment forecasts of potential contingency events as well.
HEMP仿真对综合电网影响的测量与分析
高空电磁脉冲(HEMP)爆炸对整体电力系统的潜在影响存在很大的不确定性。本研究试图解释这种不确定性,在使用蒙特卡罗方法来解释麻麻应急影响的推测范围。通过在整个仿真过程中实现任务并行和异步处理技术,本研究测量了在7173总线合成电网上进行700次大规模HEMP仿真的效果。分析探讨了根据初始应急参数,应急严重性是如何变化的。在整个模拟过程中捕获严重性指数,以测量和量化HEMP事件的级联性质。探讨了HEMP仿真模型的进一步发展,以增强对潜在突发事件的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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