Bank Credit Risk Analysis Based on Network Data Mining and Pre-training-fine-tuning ANN

Yong Hu, Menghan Fu, Jie Su, Ling Zhou
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Abstract

At present, machine learning model is widely used in bank credit risk prediction, but there are still some problems in the actual use. Aiming at the limitations of single data source, static data and little data, we optimize the artificial neural network model. First, we use the network data mining technology and introduce the real-time news text data from the network as a dynamic supplement to the financial index data; The second is to use pre-training and fine-tuning strategy. Finally, we take 48 listed companies in agriculture, forestry, fishery and animal husbandry as the research objects for empirical analysis. By comparing the prediction accuracy and stability of the optimized model with that of the original model, we conclude that the optimized model has better precision improvement effect, higher data prediction stability and, more importantly, more outstanding performance in the prediction of nonperforming loans.
基于网络数据挖掘和预训练微调神经网络的银行信用风险分析
目前,机器学习模型被广泛应用于银行信用风险预测,但在实际使用中仍存在一些问题。针对单一数据源、静态数据和数据少的局限性,对人工神经网络模型进行了优化。首先,利用网络数据挖掘技术,引入来自网络的实时新闻文本数据,作为财务指标数据的动态补充;二是采用预训练和微调策略。最后,以48家农林渔牧上市公司为研究对象进行实证分析。通过将优化后的模型与原模型的预测精度和稳定性进行比较,我们发现优化后的模型精度提升效果更好,数据预测稳定性更高,更重要的是在不良贷款预测方面表现更加突出。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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