Has the Great Recession and the Pandemic been one of the Triggers for the rise in Unemployment? A Comparative analysis: Türkiye & EU27

María Jesús Arroyo Fernández, Pedro Fernández Sánchez, M. García-Centeno, Inmaculada Hurtado Ocaña
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Abstract

In 1999 the European Council celebrated in Helsinki, on a proposal by the Commission, made Türkiye a candidate country for EU membership. In order to make further progress in the process, a number of reforms, both political and economic, had to be implemented. The aim of this paper is twofold. First, to study the evolution of one of the main macroeconomic indicators: unemployment. Secondly, through the estimation of dynamic econometric models, to analyse the possible differences in the evolution of unemployment in Türkiye and in the EU27, depending on variables such as per capita income, population, inflation, investment or public debt. And also, what has been the Keywords: Unemployment rate; Great Recession, Covid-19; macroeconomic variables; labour market policies.
大衰退和大流行是失业率上升的诱因之一吗?比较分析:日本与欧盟27国
1999年,欧洲理事会在赫尔辛基举行了庆祝活动,根据委员会的提议,土耳其成为欧盟候选国。为了在这一进程中取得进一步进展,必须执行一些政治和经济改革。本文的目的是双重的。首先,研究主要宏观经济指标之一:失业率的演变。其次,通过动态计量经济模型的估计,根据人均收入、人口、通货膨胀、投资或公共债务等变量,分析德国和欧盟27国失业演变的可能差异。关键词:失业率;大衰退、新冠肺炎;宏观经济变量;劳动力市场政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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