Analisis Determinan Return Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur

Risma Nurhapsari
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Abstract

Manufacturing stocks are the most sensitive sector to changes in macroeconomic conditions and have different stock return volatility. Return is the rate of return obtained from the investment. The purpose of this study was to analyze the different effects of macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, interest rates and the IDR/USD exchange rate on stock returns in the manufacturing sector. Another factor that is thought to influence stock returns is the debt to equity ratio. This research is a quantitative research with the object of research on manufacturing companies listed on the IDX. The sample used is manufacturing companies that meet the criteria, so that obtained 76 companies during the years 2007-2009. Research data obtained by using documentation techniques. From the data obtained and analyzed using the SPSS 17.00 program, with multiple linear regression analysis tools. The results of this study indicate the results of 2 independent variabels, namely interest in the exchange rate and foreign exchange rates have a significant effect on stock returns with a negatif coefficient indicated by the significance level of 0.000 and 0.001. While the other 2 independent variabels, namely inflation and DER have no significant effect on stock returns, this is indicated by a significance level of 0.527 and 0.63.
分析制造公司的股票收益
制造业股票是对宏观经济条件变化最敏感的行业,具有不同的股票收益率波动率。回报率是指从投资中获得的回报率。本研究的目的是分析通货膨胀、利率和印尼卢比/美元汇率等宏观经济指标对制造业股票收益的不同影响。另一个被认为影响股票回报的因素是债务权益比率。本研究是一项定量研究,研究对象为IDX上市的制造业公司。所使用的样本是符合标准的制造业公司,因此在2007-2009年间有76家公司。通过文献技术获得的研究数据。利用SPSS 17.00程序,运用多元线性回归分析工具对所得数据进行分析。本研究结果表明,汇率利率和外汇汇率两个自变量的结果对股票收益有显著影响,负系数分别为0.000和0.001的显著性水平。而另外两个自变量通货膨胀率和通货膨胀率对股票收益没有显著影响,其显著性水平分别为0.527和0.63。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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