A Novel Industry-Classification Final Energy Consumption Structure Clustering Method Based on Improved K-Means Algorithm

Zilong Zhao, Jinrui Tang, Jianchao Liu, Ganheng Ge, Hong-Gang Yang
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Abstract

The industry-classification final energy consumption structure is inextricably linked to economic development. Due to the goal of carbon neutrality, China's industry-classification final energy consumption structure is undergoing profound changes. It is challenging to analyze the industry-classification final energy consumption structure in multiple dimensions using analytical tools such as line charts. In order to illustrate the variation of the final energy consumption structure in different industry sectors at different times, a novel industry-classification final energy consumption structure clustering method based on an improved $K$-means algorithm is proposed in this paper. Three methods, including the elbow method, the silhouette coefficient method, and the Calinski-Harabasz (CH) index method, are used to optimize $k$ values in the $K$-means algorithm. The classification results are evaluated through the empirical analyses from the China industry dataset. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately classify the industry-classification final energy consumption structure of industrial sub-sectors into four categories. Moreover, the trend of the evolution of the industry consumption structure shows that most industries have shifted from coal-based consumption to electricity-based consumption.
一种基于改进K-Means算法的行业分类最终能耗结构聚类方法
产业分类最终能源消费结构与经济发展有着千丝万缕的联系。由于碳中和的目标,中国的行业分类最终能源消费结构正在发生深刻的变化。利用折线图等分析工具对行业分类最终能耗结构进行多维度分析具有一定的挑战性。为了反映不同行业不同时期最终能耗结构的变化,本文提出了一种基于改进的$K$-means算法的行业分类最终能耗结构聚类方法。采用肘部法、轮廓系数法和Calinski-Harabasz (CH)指数法三种方法对k -means算法中的k值进行优化。通过对中国工业数据集的实证分析,对分类结果进行了评价。仿真结果表明,该方法能准确地将工业子部门的行业分类最终能耗结构划分为4类。此外,行业消费结构的演变趋势表明,大多数行业已经从以煤为主的消费转向以电为主的消费。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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