Heuristics in decision making

F. Albar, A. Jetter
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引用次数: 28

Abstract

Heuristics are simple rules of thumbs for problem solving that follow a logic that is quite different from consequential logic. They have long been regarded, as an inferior technique for decision making that is the source of irrational decision behavior. Recently, decision making researchers have demonstrated that some heuristics are highly efficient and can compete with complex decision models in some application domains. This paper explores the different streams of research, summarizes the state of the art decision making model, and discusses its implications for complex decisions in engineering and technology management.
决策中的启发式
启发式是解决问题的简单经验法则,它遵循的逻辑与结果逻辑截然不同。长期以来,它们一直被认为是一种低劣的决策技术,是非理性决策行为的根源。近年来,决策研究人员已经证明了一些启发式方法是高效的,并且在某些应用领域可以与复杂的决策模型相竞争。本文探讨了不同的研究流,总结了最先进的决策模型,并讨论了其对工程和技术管理中复杂决策的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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