Predictors of relaparotomy for persisting intra abdominal infection in secondary peritonitis

Abel Tesfaye, T. Henock, Selase
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Abstract

Background: Peritonitis is one of the commonest causes of acute abdomen in Ethiopia. One of the causes of high morbidity and mortality is persistent intraabdominal infection. The two essential approaches for managing post-op collection are laparotomy on-demand and planned Relaparotomy. Despite multiple studies, both have comparative mortality. This study aimed to identify clinical variables that are predictive of persistent intraabdominal infection. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on patients who were operated on from Sept 2018 to April 2020 at two affiliated referral hospitals of AAU, college of Medicine; Yekatit 12 hospital Medical College and Minilik II referral Hospital. All of the patients were cases of secondary peritonitis. Clinical progress of the patients from admission to discharge/death was documented. Multiple preoperative and intraoperative variables were analyzed to develop the predictive clinical model. Results: Out of 172 laparotomy cases for secondary peritonitis, 40 (23.3%) required relaparotomy for postop collection. From Patients who developed postop collection, 45% of them were diagnosed after pus/Gi content leaked through the surgical wound. The mortality rate of patients who develop postop collection and undergone relaparotomy was 27.5 % and 4.5% for those without postop collection. Logistic regression identified 4 variables as having significant predictive value: Duration of illness more than 5 days, Systolic BP 1000 ml, and small bowel as a source of contamination. Overall prediction successes of the above model is 88.4% (sensitivity 53.3%, specificity 96.8%). Conclusion: Management of persistent intra-abdominal infection is challenging. We have identified 4 clinical variables that predict persistent intraabdominal infection requiring relaparotomy. These sets of variables can be a milestone for future validation study before being inserted in today to day clinical practice.
继发性腹膜炎持续腹内感染的剖腹手术预测因素
背景:腹膜炎是埃塞俄比亚最常见的急腹症之一。其中一个高发病率和死亡率的原因是持续腹腔内感染。处理术后收集的两种基本方法是按需剖腹手术和计划剖腹手术。尽管进行了多次研究,但两者都有相对死亡率。本研究旨在确定预测持续性腹腔内感染的临床变量。方法:回顾性分析2018年9月至2020年4月在医学院附属两家转诊医院接受手术的患者;Yekatit 12医院医学院和Minilik II转诊医院。所有患者均为继发性腹膜炎。记录患者从入院到出院/死亡的临床进展。分析术前和术中多个变量,建立预测临床模型。结果:172例继发性腹膜炎剖腹手术中,40例(23.3%)需要再次剖腹手术进行术后收集。在术后收集的患者中,45%的患者是在脓/Gi内容物通过手术伤口泄漏后被诊断出来的。术后收集并行再开腹手术的患者死亡率为27.5%,未术后收集的患者死亡率为4.5%。Logistic回归确定了4个具有显著预测价值的变量:疾病持续时间超过5天,收缩压1000毫升,小肠作为污染源。该模型的总体预测成功率为88.4%(敏感性53.3%,特异性96.8%)。结论:持续性腹腔感染的治疗具有挑战性。我们已经确定了4个临床变量,预测持续腹内感染需要再开腹手术。这些变量集可以作为未来验证研究的一个里程碑,然后再插入到今天的临床实践中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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