Recidivism in Brunei Inmates â Estimating the Rates and PredictingReoffending

Lawrence Mundia, Rohani Matzin, Salwa Mahalle, Malai Hayati Sheikh Hamid, Ratna Suriani Osman
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The survey investigated the recidivism problem in a random sample of Brunei prisoners (N = 64) representing both genders. Overall, there were more recidivists than firsttime offenders on all the three major crimes (theft, drugs, and sex offenses). The relapse cases were overrepresented in the 36-40 age-group. Offending and re-offending occurred almost at the same rate in married and non-married inmates. Both groups cited the need to support dependent relatives as one of the main reasons for stealing. Four variables (interpersonal-sensitivity, lifestyle, parents’ marital status, and obsessive-compulsive disorder) were significantly related to recidivism, all at p<0.05 level. Of these, the best predictor of recidivism was interpersonal-sensitivity (OR = 1.199; 95% CI for OR = 1.028 - 1.398; p<0.05). Inmates who scored high on the interpersonalsensitivity variable (lack of sensitivity when dealing with other people) were 1.2 times more likely to reoffend and be re-imprisoned upon release. Sex offenses were 28 times more likely to be repeated by perpetrators upon release. The likelihood of drug and stealing offenses to recurr was 10.9 and 7.4 times respectively. Preventive, community-based, and in-prison interventions were recommended to address the convicts’ recidivism, labeling, stigma, and discrimination problems to facilitate reintegration. Large-scale mixed-methods research was suggested to gain additional insights and solutions.
文莱囚犯的累犯情况âÂÂ估计再犯率和预测再犯率
该调查调查了文莱囚犯(N = 64)的再犯问题,这些囚犯代表男女。总的来说,在所有三种主要犯罪(盗窃、毒品和性犯罪)中,累犯都比初犯多。复发病例在36-40岁年龄组中比例过高。已婚和未婚囚犯的犯罪率和再犯罪率几乎相同。两组人都认为需要赡养亲戚是偷窃的主要原因之一。人际关系敏感性、生活方式、父母婚姻状况、强迫症4个变量与再犯有显著相关,p<0.05水平。其中,人际关系敏感性是再犯的最佳预测因子(OR = 1.199;95% CI OR = 1.028 - 1.398;p < 0.05)。在人际关系敏感性(与他人打交道时缺乏敏感性)这一变量上得分高的囚犯再次犯罪和出狱后再次入狱的可能性要高出1.2倍。性犯罪在释放后重犯的可能性是罪犯的28倍。毒品和偷窃犯罪再次发生的可能性分别为10.9和7.4倍。建议采取预防性、基于社区和监狱的干预措施,以解决罪犯的累犯、标签、污名化和歧视问题,促进他们重返社会。建议进行大规模的混合方法研究,以获得更多的见解和解决方案。
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