Keynesian Macrodynamics - Two Models

R. Krishnan
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Abstract

Recently there has been a resurgence in the utility of New Keynesian models in the world. The financial crisis has been in many ways a wakeup call for a large part of economics and the importance of this previously underrated field has been increasing. The neoclassical synthesis of macroeconomics with its emphasis on rational actors and perfect market clearing has been relegated to an interesting side note while Keynesian monetary policies are now in vogue. The recently emergent DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) models have emphasised this as well giving each theory their day in the sun. Even major policy making institutions such as the ECB are now using these DSGE models to figure out how they should approach policy challenges. We aim to look thus at two approaches that contain within themselves the seeds of ideological differences while preserving real world utility. This analysis aims to give an overview of the major aspects of the New Keynesian model and its implication towards policy setting in macroeconomic settings, including major importance placed on elements of inflation targeting, structural unemployment and monetary policy. We investigate the Aggregate Demand (henceforth "AD") and Aggregate Supply (henceforth "AS") constraints and will look at the stickiness of prices with the help of the model created by Guillermo Antonio Calvo, the "Calvo pricing" model. Our emphasis will be two-fold. First will be to look at the mathematics underlying the sticky price New Keynesian model and understand its importance and applicability to the present day macroeconomic scenario. Second would be to look at the variety of areas in which this type of analysis might be inapplicable and to analyse the shortcomings of such an approach.
凯恩斯宏观动力学——两个模型
最近,新凯恩斯主义模型在世界范围内的应用又重新抬头。从很多方面来说,金融危机给经济学的很大一部分敲响了警钟,而这一此前被低估的领域的重要性一直在上升。强调理性行为者和完美市场出清的新古典综合宏观经济学,在凯恩斯主义货币政策盛行之际,已经沦为有趣的旁注。最近出现的DSGE(动态随机一般均衡)模型也强调了这一点,使每种理论都有了自己的发展前景。就连欧洲央行这样的主要政策制定机构,现在也在使用这些DSGE模型来确定它们应该如何应对政策挑战。因此,我们的目标是研究两种方法,它们既包含意识形态差异的种子,又保留了现实世界的效用。本分析旨在概述新凯恩斯主义模型的主要方面及其对宏观经济环境中政策制定的影响,包括对通货膨胀目标、结构性失业和货币政策要素的重要重视。我们研究了总需求(以下简称“AD”)和总供给(以下简称“AS”)约束,并将借助吉列尔莫·安东尼奥·卡尔沃(Guillermo Antonio Calvo)创建的“卡尔沃定价”模型来研究价格的粘性。我们的重点将是双重的。首先,我们来看看黏性价格新凯恩斯模型背后的数学原理,并理解它对当前宏观经济情景的重要性和适用性。第二是研究这种类型的分析可能不适用的各种领域,并分析这种方法的缺点。
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