Parameter calibration of VIC model based on intelligent algorithm

Yuqin Gao, Chenchen Zhao, Tong Zhou, Di Wu, Yue Liu
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Abstract

The parameters of the hydrological model are important parts of the model, and parameter calibration plays a key role in the output of the model. To analyze the influence of different calibration methods on the simulation results of the VIC hydrological model, the parameter calibration methods are coupled with the VIC model combining the characteristics of the Qinhuai River Basin. Three automatic optimization methods, including the genetic algorithm, simulated annealing algorithm and SCE-UA(shuffle complex evolution algorithm) algorithm, are used to automatically calibrate the 6 parameters of the VIC model. Three evaluation methods of the Nash efficiency coefficient (NSE), mean square error (MSE) and percentage deviation (PBIAS) are used to optimize the parameters. The model’s simulated runoff results are compared and analyzed. The results show that the SCE-UA algorithm with the Nash efficiency coefficient as the objective function can make the VIC model parameter calibration achieve ideal results. Different objective functions have different effects on the peak runoff during the model simulation verification period. By optimizing the parameters with the Nash efficiency coefficient and mean square error as objective functions, the simulated peak runoff is more similar to the measured data. The results can provide a reference for other models parameters automatic calibration, and are of great practical significance for rapid emergency response of hydrological simulation and forecasting.
基于智能算法的VIC模型参数标定
水文模型的参数是模型的重要组成部分,参数定标对模型的输出起着关键作用。为分析不同定标方法对VIC水文模型模拟结果的影响,结合秦淮河流域特点,将参数定标方法与VIC模型进行耦合。采用遗传算法、模拟退火算法和SCE-UA(shuffle complex evolution algorithm)算法三种自动优化方法对VIC模型的6个参数进行自动标定。采用纳什效率系数(NSE)、均方误差(MSE)和百分比偏差(PBIAS)三种评价方法对参数进行优化。对模型模拟的径流结果进行了比较分析。结果表明,以Nash效率系数为目标函数的SCE-UA算法可以使VIC模型参数标定达到理想的效果。不同的目标函数对模型仿真验证期间的峰值径流有不同的影响。通过以纳什效率系数和均方误差为目标函数对参数进行优化,模拟的峰值径流与实测数据更加接近。研究结果可为其他模型参数的自动定标提供参考,对水文模拟预报的快速应急响应具有重要的现实意义。
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