Transit Migration: All Roads Lead to America

IF 3.8 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Journal Pub Date : 2018-01-29 DOI:10.1111/ecoj.12456

Erhan Artuc, Caglar Ozden

引用次数: 26

Abstract

The paths of many migrants include multiple destinations and transit routes, yet this pattern is almost never reflected in empirical analyses. For example, 9% of recent immigrants to the US arrived from a transit country as opposed to the one they were born in. Among those arriving from many OECD countries, transit migration ratio exceeds 30%. To explain these patterns, we construct a dynamic model of global migration that allows transit migration opportunities to impact the attractiveness of locations. After estimating structural parameters of the model, we simulate various counterfactual scenarios to highlight the spillovers of transit migration paths.

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过境移民:条条大路通美国

许多移徙者的路径包括多个目的地和过境路线，但这种模式几乎从未在实证分析中得到反映。例如，最近到美国的移民中有9%来自过境国，而不是他们出生的国家。在来自许多经合组织国家的移民中，过境移民比例超过30%。为了解释这些模式，我们构建了一个全球移民的动态模型，该模型允许过境移民机会影响地点的吸引力。在估计了模型的结构参数后，我们模拟了各种反事实情景，以突出过境迁移路径的溢出效应。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Economic Journal ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

6.60

自引率

3.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Economic Journal is the Royal Economic Society''s flagship title, and is one of the founding journals of modern economics. Over the past 125 years the journal has provided a platform for high quality and imaginative economic research, earning a worldwide reputation excellence as a general journal publishing papers in all fields of economics for a broad international readership. It is invaluable to anyone with an active interest in economic issues and is a key source for professional economists in higher education, business, government and the financial sector who want to keep abreast of current thinking in economics.