TRAFFIC FLOW PREDICTION BASED ON VANET DATA BY COMBINING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK AND GENETIC ALGORITHM

Sara Tavasolian, M. Afzali
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Abstract

In many developing countries, predicting traffic flow is one of the solutions to prevent congestion on highways and routes, and the intelligent transportation system is considered one of the solutions to problems related to transportation and traffic. Knowledge of the predicted situation for traffic flow is essential in traffic management and informing passengers. This research presents a short-term intelligent transportation traffic flow forecasting model, which first examines how traffic forecasting can improve the performance of intelligent transportation system applications. Then the method and basic concepts of traffic flow forecasting are introduced, and the two main categories of forecasting, statistical models and machine learning-based forecasting methods (supervised and unsupervised) are discussed. Finally, a method based on machine learning using a genetic algorithm is Presented. The prediction was used as a powerful method for the mathematical modeling of traffic data in the proposed genetic algorithm method to select important traffic data features and neural networks for classification. The simulation and results presented in this research show a 3 percent improvement in traffic flow prediction with the proposed method, which uses SVM as a classifier in the primary method, and the simulation of this method has output a value of 93.6, But the suggested method has an output of 96.6
结合人工神经网络和遗传算法的交通流量预测
在许多发展中国家,预测交通流量是防止高速公路和路线拥堵的解决方案之一,智能交通系统被认为是解决交通和交通相关问题的解决方案之一。了解交通流量的预测情况对交通管理和通知乘客至关重要。本研究提出了一个短期智能交通交通流预测模型,首先探讨了交通预测如何提高智能交通系统的应用性能。然后介绍了交通流预测的方法和基本概念,讨论了两大类预测方法,统计模型和基于机器学习的预测方法(监督和无监督)。最后,提出了一种基于遗传算法的机器学习方法。提出的遗传算法方法将预测作为交通数据数学建模的有力手段,选择交通数据的重要特征并利用神经网络进行分类。本研究的仿真和结果表明,采用支持向量机作为分类器的方法对交通流的预测提高了3%,该方法的仿真输出值为93.6,而建议方法的输出值为96.6
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