Mortality level and trend in South Africa and their Implications

K. Kyei, P. Gavhi
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Abstract

Mortality is a critical measure of population’s health and public health systems. Infant mortality, for example, indicates quality of life, accessibility to primary healthcare and the overall health status of a country. Reduction in infant mortality shows improvement in the health status. No credible information about mortality in South Africa because the two previous censuses’ data from Statistics South Africa (StatsSA) were not reliable, this study makes attempt to bridge the gap in the lack of knowledge. Th is study uses South African General Household Survey (SAGHS) data, to fi nd the level and trend of mortality and their implications. Data for the years, 2012, 2013 and 2015, have been used. Demographic and statistical methods, including an evaluation of data quality using UN joint score, and construction of model life tables. The results indicated that the infant mortality rate (IMR) was 43 per 1000 in 2012, 36 per 1000 in 2013 and 21 per 1000 in 2015. Th is study further indicated that the general health status of South African population improved marginally from 2012 to 2015 because the life expectancy in creas ed by 7 years for the males, and by 8 years for females, between those years. The study results that SAGHS data are reliable, mortality is decreasing with increasing life expectancy. The study recommends that more proactive measures need to be put in place to improve the health status of the population, especially the children because the IMR is still quite high and creates concerns.
南非的死亡率水平和趋势及其影响
死亡率是衡量人口健康和公共卫生系统的重要指标。例如,婴儿死亡率表明一个国家的生活质量、获得初级保健的机会和总体健康状况。婴儿死亡率的降低表明健康状况的改善。由于南非统计局(StatsSA)的前两次人口普查数据不可靠,因此没有关于南非死亡率的可靠信息,本研究试图弥合缺乏知识的差距。该研究使用南非综合家庭调查(SAGHS)数据来发现死亡率的水平和趋势及其影响。使用的是2012、2013和2015年的数据。人口和统计方法,包括使用联合国联合评分对数据质量进行评估,以及构建模型生命表。结果表明,2012年婴儿死亡率为43 / 1000,2013年为36 / 1000,2015年为21 / 1000。该研究进一步表明,从2012年到2015年,南非人口的总体健康状况略有改善,因为在这些年间,男性的预期寿命增加了7岁,女性的预期寿命增加了8岁。研究结果表明,SAGHS数据是可靠的,死亡率随着预期寿命的增加而下降。该研究建议,需要采取更积极的措施来改善人口的健康状况,特别是儿童的健康状况,因为死亡率仍然很高,令人担忧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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