Probabilistic multimodeling in zero-sum differential games

T. Başar
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Abstract

A theory of existence and characterization of equilibria is developed for stochastic zero-sum differential games when the players operate under different (probabilistic) models for the underlying system and measurement processes. The authors identify salient features of such an extended formulation for zero-sum stochastic differential games with noisy measurements, and analyze the equilibria that emerge from possible inconsistent modeling. After a general discussion on the implications of subjective probabilistic modeling on saddle-point equilibria, the authors study the class of zero-sum differential games where the players have a common (noisy) measurement of the state, but different (subjective) statistics on the system measurement noise processes. The author obtains a characterization of the equilibrium solution in the presence of such a discrepancy and studies the structural consistency of the solution and its convergence to the saddle-point solution of the nominal game as the discrepancy becomes (in some norm) vanishingly small.<>
零和微分对策的概率多建模
当参与者在潜在系统和测量过程的不同(概率)模型下操作时,为随机零和微分博弈开发了均衡的存在和表征理论。作者确定了带有噪声测量的零和随机微分博弈的这种扩展公式的显著特征,并分析了可能不一致建模产生的均衡。在对鞍点均衡的主观概率建模的意义进行一般性讨论之后,作者研究了一类零和微分对策,其中参与者对状态有共同的(有噪声的)测量,但对系统测量噪声过程有不同的(主观的)统计。作者得到了存在这种差异时的平衡解的一个表征,并研究了当差异(在某范数内)变小时,该解的结构一致性及其收敛到名义对策鞍点解的收敛性。
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