Prediction of Solar Radiation using Empirical Models over Lowland Region Nepal

A. Pokhrel, H. P. Adhikari, U. Joshi, B. Tiwari, K. Poudyal, Dr. Hom Bahadur Baniya, Prof. Dr. Bhawani Datta, J. Sanju, Shrestha Dr. Niraj, Dhital Dr. Dinesh, Acharya Dr. Shashit, Kumar Yadav Dr, R. P. Guragain
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Abstract

Renewable energy sources are becoming more and more popular as a result of the world's rapidly rising energy needs and the depletion of fossil fuel stocks. Solar energy significantly increases the need for electricity. Due to high energy demands, solar energy most viable out among all of energy sources. Before choosing a location for a solar-powered power plant, it is necessary to predict or anticipate solar energy. For the estimation of the solar energy we use meteorological parameters such as sunshine hour, temperature and relative humidity on selected empirical models to find the empirical coefficients at the study site Biratnagar (Lat. 26° 27' 15" E, Long. 87° 16' 47" N, and alt. 72 m) Nepal. Regression technique is utilized on meteorological parameters including global solar radiation at different models viz. Angstrom-Prescott (A-P) model, Ogunlade model, Gopinathan model and Hargreaves model. Among the four models, the A-P model is better than other models by analyzing the statistical tools. Finally, the empirical constants of A-P model and are found. The finding coefficients can be used to estimate the solar radiation and solar energy at similar geographical locations of Nepal.
尼泊尔低地地区经验模式的太阳辐射预报
由于世界能源需求的迅速增长和化石燃料库存的枯竭,可再生能源正变得越来越受欢迎。太阳能大大增加了对电力的需求。由于能源需求量大,太阳能是所有能源中最可行的。在选择太阳能发电厂的位置之前,有必要预测或预测太阳能。在尼泊尔Biratnagar(北纬26°27′15”,北纬87°16′47”,海拔72 m)研究地点,我们利用日照时数、温度和相对湿度等气象参数对太阳能进行估算。利用回归技术对包括太阳总辐射在内的气象参数在不同模式下进行回归,即Angstrom-Prescott (A-P)模式、Ogunlade模式、Gopinathan模式和Hargreaves模式。通过统计工具分析,四种模型中,A-P模型优于其他模型。最后,求出了A-P模型的经验常数。发现系数可用于估算尼泊尔类似地理位置的太阳辐射和太阳能。
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