Energy Sector Stock Price Prediction Using The CNN, GRU & LSTM Hybrid Algorithm

Bambang Sulistio, H. Warnars, F. Gaol, B. Soewito
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Abstract

Nowadays, many people are starting to care about early investment. One of the most popular investments lately, especially for millennials, is a stock investment. In investing, there are advantages and risks of loss. One way to reduce the risk of loss is by using price predictions before investing in stocks. This paper proposes the use of deep learning in making stock predictions. We conducted research by calculating the performance of six deep-learning algorithms to predict stock closing prices. The application of the CNN-LSTM-GRU hybrid algorithm combination produces the best performance compared to other methods, based on the value: Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) decreased by 1.100 by 14%, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) was successfully reduced by 0.798 by 13.4%, and R Square increased by 0.957 by 3.9%. In predicting stock prices on the Indonesian Stock Exchange, especially in the energy sector, CNN-LSTM-GRU is more appropriate for investors than using a single algorithm to make decisions in investing in stocks..
基于CNN、GRU和LSTM混合算法的能源板块股票价格预测
现在,很多人开始关注早期投资。最近最受欢迎的投资之一,尤其是对千禧一代来说,就是股票投资。投资有好处,也有损失的风险。减少损失风险的一种方法是在投资股票之前进行价格预测。本文提出在股票预测中使用深度学习。我们通过计算六种深度学习算法的性能来预测股票收盘价,从而进行了研究。与其他方法相比,CNN-LSTM-GRU混合算法组合的应用效果最好,其值为:均方根误差(RMSE)降低了1.100,平均绝对误差(MAE)成功降低了0.798,平均绝对误差(MAE)成功降低了13.4%,R方提高了0.957,平均绝对误差(MAE)成功降低了3.9%。在预测印尼证券交易所的股票价格,特别是在能源领域,CNN-LSTM-GRU比使用单一算法做出股票投资决策更适合投资者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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