Effects of Changes in Rural Household Income on Health care expenditure in China

C. Yao
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Abstract

Demands for health care services are increasing day by day with the significant improvement in living standards for rural residents. To disclose influences of changes in rural household income on health care expenditure in China, the correlations between different income factors in China’s rural household and health care expenditure were analyzed and predicted by grey correlation and the model DGM (1, 1). Results show that the annual per capita disposable income and health care expenditure of rural household in China both have achieved an exponential growth trend year by year recently, but the growth of health care expenditure is higher than that of disposable income. The correlations between factors in the income structure and health care expenditure vary in different stages. In general, net property income and net transfer income show the closer correlations with health care expenditure than other income factors. In the next five years, health care expenditure is expected to increase year by year as a response to the increasing annual per capita disposable income of rural household in China.
中国农村家庭收入变化对医疗保健支出的影响
随着农村居民生活水平的显著提高,对卫生保健服务的需求日益增加。为了揭示中国农村家庭收入变化对医疗保健支出的影响,采用灰色关联和DGM模型(1,1)对中国农村家庭不同收入因素与医疗保健支出之间的相关性进行了分析和预测。结果表明,近年来中国农村家庭年人均可支配收入和医疗保健支出均呈逐年指数增长趋势;但医疗保健支出的增长高于可支配收入的增长。收入结构因素与卫生保健支出之间的相关关系在不同阶段存在差异。总体而言,净财产性收入和净转移性收入与医疗保健支出的相关性高于其他收入因素。未来5年,随着中国农村家庭年人均可支配收入的增加,医疗保健支出预计将逐年增加。
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