The Causal Relationship between Corruption, Military Expenditures and Economic Growth in Egypt

Hisham H Abdelbaki, Amr E. M. El-Sherbiny
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Abstract

This paper aims to assess the relationship military expenditure and corruption and measure the impact of military expenditure on economic growth during the period 1981-2010 . The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) models are used to solve the problems that arise in carrying such models that involve macroeconomic variables. The main findings report that military expenditures inversely affect economic growth. However military spending contributes positively to corruption. The results also state that exports, foreign direct investment and gross capital formation have positive effects on economic growth in Egypt in the considered period. For the corruption model, the results report that the education level and foreign direct investment are inversely correlated to corruption. Furthermore, globalization and government intervention are found to have positive effects on corruption levels in the economy and are the main determinants of corruption beside military expenditures in the Egyptian economy.
埃及腐败、军事开支与经济增长的因果关系
本文旨在评估1981-2010年期间军费开支与腐败的关系,并衡量军费开支对经济增长的影响。自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型用于解决在包含宏观经济变量的模型中出现的问题。报告的主要结论是,军费开支对经济增长产生反作用。然而,军费开支助长了腐败。结果还表明,出口、外国直接投资和总资本形成对埃及在考虑期间的经济增长有积极影响。对于腐败模型,结果表明教育水平和外国直接投资与腐败呈负相关。此外,全球化和政府干预被发现对经济中的腐败水平有积极影响,并且是埃及经济中除军事开支外腐败的主要决定因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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